Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.070612 0.078263 0.086662 0.096612 0.108140 0.121147 0.137039
2024-10-27 0.058553 0.068766 0.080894 0.096549 0.116497 0.141462 0.175713
2024-11-03 0.051198 0.062891 0.077670 0.098134 0.126429 0.165281 0.224761
2024-11-10 0.045817 0.058336 0.074973 0.099406 0.135657 0.189770 0.281691
2024-11-17 0.041238 0.054026 0.071728 0.099017 0.142020 0.211134 0.340412
2024-11-24 0.038062 0.051139 0.069910 0.100163 0.150602 0.237684 0.417285
2024-12-01 0.035478 0.048730 0.068372 0.101321 0.159194 0.266163 0.509339
2024-12-08 0.033242 0.046553 0.066851 0.102152 0.167211 0.295521 0.616861
2024-12-15 0.031131 0.044330 0.064957 0.101991 0.173256 0.322488 0.732823
2024-12-22 0.029074 0.041986 0.062593 0.100617 0.176613 0.344571 0.848679
2024-12-29 0.027881 0.040898 0.062164 0.102643 0.187168 0.386312 1.052622
2025-01-05 0.026203 0.038876 0.059938 0.100963 0.189505 0.408698 1.209468
2025-01-12 0.025083 0.037714 0.059137 0.102027 0.198382 0.452059 1.491176
2025-01-19 0.023799 0.036181 0.057538 0.101298 0.203038 0.485772 1.772938
2025-01-26 0.022930 0.035290 0.057014 0.102706 0.213209 0.540499 2.239650
2025-02-02 0.022111 0.034422 0.056446 0.103937 0.223253 0.599792 2.845941
2025-02-09 0.021154 0.033242 0.055182 0.103474 0.228759 0.646375 3.475520
2025-02-16 0.020467 0.032498 0.054686 0.104667 0.239157 0.717088 4.511197
2025-02-23 0.019835 0.031806 0.054229 0.105886 0.249987 0.796474 5.956034
2025-03-02 0.019211 0.031089 0.053659 0.106764 0.260081 0.879810 7.912836
2025-03-09 0.018529 0.030219 0.052708 0.106591 0.266912 0.953209 10.270165
2025-03-16 0.017773 0.029168 0.051306 0.105133 0.269282 1.006546 12.770800
2025-03-23 0.017396 0.028814 0.051324 0.107282 0.284449 1.142324 19.215892